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Pak Tak International ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, September 30th, 2026

1 Day

5,654.76

increased by 8.54

1 Week

5,724.50

increased by 78.28

1 Month

5,730.64

increased by 84.42

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, September 30, 2026 at 07:11 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

09/29/2024

to

09/29/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Pak Tak International ILLIQ-MFMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 2007 to Sep 25, 2026

Model Insight

Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 64 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 64 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.

μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 64-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow71
αARCH0.1784
14.93***
βGARCH0.8705
136.54***
γleverage-0.1195
-5.68***
λ₁tau intercept0.0000
0.08
λ₂forecast adj.0.6115
10.00***
λ₃tau persistence0.1840
7.09***

0.989

Persistence

64d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

71
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1784
14.93***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8705
136.54***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.1195
-5.68***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0000
0.08
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.6115
10.00***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.1840
7.09***

Persistence:

0.989

Half-life:

64 days