V-Lab
Cedar Co Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Friday, July 31st, 2026
1 Day
7,559.75
1 Week
7,477.87
1 Month
4,547.14
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 31, 2026 at 07:18 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 17, 2005 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 12 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 12 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 86 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1490 | 0.03 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8692 | 132.55*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1490 | -0.02 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 7.8938 | 0.04 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.7486 | 0.58 |
Persistence:
0.944
Half-life:
12 days
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