V-Lab
Right Way Industrial Co Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, July 29th, 2026
1 Day
5,930.03
1 Week
4,990.41
1 Month
4,550.44
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, July 29, 2026 at 08:05 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 23, 1994 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 4 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 4 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 21 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2133 | 0.01 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6382 | 1.72* |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0074 | 0.00 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 8.6370 | 0.01 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.2196 | 0.01 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.7804 | 0.37 |
Persistence:
0.855
Half-life:
4 days
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