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Hong Ho Precision Textile Co Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Illiquidity prediction for Friday, November 6th, 2026

1 Day

6,318.56

decreased by 802.66

1 Week

6,635.29

decreased by 485.93

1 Month

5,261.34

decreased by 1,859.88

Analysis last updated: Friday, November 6, 2026 at 09:56 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

11/05/2024

to

11/05/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Hong Ho Precision Textile Co ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 23, 1994 to Nov 4, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 693147 trading days (~2750.6 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 205% more after negative returns

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 1.000, shock half-life ~693147 daysAsymmetry: Illiquidity rises 205% more after negative returns
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst4.2801
2.15**
αARCH0.0691
6.83***
βGARCH0.8600
97.35***
γleverage0.1417
5.86***

1.000

Persistence

693147d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

4.2801
2.15**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0691
6.83***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8600
97.35***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1417
5.86***

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

693147 days