V-Lab
Hubei W-OLF Photoelectric Technology Co Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026
1 Day
175.55
1 Week
152.73
1 Month
168.19
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 06:19 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 17, 2019 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 4 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 4 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 96 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2087 | 3.21*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7472 | 83.82*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.2087 | -1.96** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.1732 | 8.15*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.01 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9958 | 439.26*** |
Persistence:
0.852
Half-life:
4 days
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