Hubei W-OLF Photoelectric Technology Co Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Liquidity prediction for Monday, July 13th, 2026
1 Day
106.48
1 Week
118.57
1 Month
96.97
Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 11, 2026 at 07:17 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's liquidityLiquidity Forecast
How liquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 17, 2019 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 4 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 4 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 91 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2093 | 3.14*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7456 | 80.36*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.2080 | -1.89* |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.1655 | 7.66*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.01 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9959 | 436.04*** |
Persistence:
0.851
Half-life:
4 days
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