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V-Lab

Kuwaiti Dinar GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, October 20th, 2026

1 Day

4.72%

increased by 0.58%

1 Week

4.70%

increased by 0.56%

1 Month

4.61%

increased by 0.47%

Analysis last updated: Monday, October 19, 2026 at 07:10 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/19/2024

to

10/19/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Kuwaiti Dinar GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 28, 1991 to Oct 16, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 69 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 69 days.

σ

GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 69-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0005
3.07***
αARCH0.0872
5.15***
βGARCH0.9027
57.45***

0.990

Persistence

69d

Half-life
σ

GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0005
3.07***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0872
5.15***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9027
57.45***

Persistence:

0.990

Half-life:

69 days