Varna-Plod AD Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Monday, January 5th, 2026:917.72% (+772.88%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5455 | 1.12 | |
| 0.7242 | 4.85 | |
| 0.2619 | 2.00 | |
| -1.8663 | -0.84 | |
| 4.7423 | 1.37 | |
| -5.7178 | -2.28 | |
| 3.1542 | 1.34 | |
| 1.3871 | 0.74 | |
| -4.4552 | -2.04 | |
| 9.6686 | 2.97 | |
| -14.1874 | -3.26 | |
| 9.5271 | 2.21 | |
| 8.5582 | 1.39 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 21, 2013 to Jan 1, 2026
Jan 21, 2013 to Jan 1, 2026
News Impact Curve
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