United Motors Lanka Ltd Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Monday, February 16th, 2026:49.62% (+0.42%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 2.2238 | 4.12 | |
| 0.2046 | 6.90 | |
| 0.5882 | 11.82 | |
| 0.1835 | 1.45 | |
| -0.1264 | -0.76 | |
| -0.2238 | -2.47 | |
| 0.3812 | 3.92 | |
| -0.5082 | -5.23 | |
| 0.5067 | 4.68 | |
| -0.2899 | -2.56 | |
| 0.3299 | 3.13 | |
| -0.5771 | -5.39 | |
| 0.5920 | 4.04 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 29, 1990 to Feb 13, 2026
Jan 29, 1990 to Feb 13, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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