Toplivo-Sofia JSC Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Monday, January 5th, 2026:408.14% (+296.58%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5906 | 4.69 | |
| 0.1359 | 4.29 | |
| 0.2670 | 2.15 | |
| -0.1537 | -1.05 | |
| 0.2629 | 1.30 | |
| -0.2941 | -2.19 | |
| 0.2441 | 1.73 | |
| -0.1042 | -0.73 | |
| 0.2527 | 1.61 | |
| -0.3741 | -2.00 | |
| 0.1443 | 0.59 | |
| 0.3838 | 0.71 |
Estimation Period:
Oct 31, 2006 to Jan 1, 2026
Oct 31, 2006 to Jan 1, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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