Tira Austenite Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Monday, February 9th, 2026:16.34% (+4.07%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 19.3813 | 193,813,300.00 | |
| 0.2037 | 2,036,670.00 | |
| 0.7936 | 7,936,410.00 | |
| 14.3949 | 143,948,900.00 | |
| -270.5538 | -2,705,538,000.00 | |
| 808.5685 | 8,085,685,000.00 | |
| -958.8046 | -9,588,046,000.00 | |
| 518.2574 | 5,182,574,000.00 | |
| -139.2787 | -1,392,787,000.00 | |
| 22.1903 | 221,903,200.00 | |
| 2.1017 | 21,016,970.00 | |
| 62.8945 | 628,945,200.00 | |
| -137.2065 | -1,372,065,000.00 |
Estimation Period:
Oct 11, 1993 to Feb 6, 2026
Oct 11, 1993 to Feb 6, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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