Sword Group Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Wednesday, February 11th, 2026:27.35% (-1.05%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.3240 | 7.53 | |
| 0.1133 | 6.31 | |
| 0.7437 | 21.76 | |
| -0.1647 | -2.24 | |
| 0.4270 | 3.47 | |
| -0.4997 | -4.86 | |
| 0.3259 | 3.16 | |
| -0.0910 | -0.91 | |
| 0.0370 | 0.43 | |
| -0.0299 | -0.32 | |
| -0.0957 | -0.84 | |
| 0.2424 | 1.61 |
Estimation Period:
Mar 13, 2002 to Feb 6, 2026
Mar 13, 2002 to Feb 6, 2026
News Impact Curve
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