Saraswati Commercial (India) Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Monday, February 16th, 2026:148,968.53% (-5,122.24%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 2.0722 | 20,721,880.00 | |
| 0.0180 | 180,300.00 | |
| 0.9345 | 9,344,770.00 | |
| -1.9879 | -19,879,090.00 | |
| -132.5394 | -1,325,394,000.00 | |
| 280.3417 | 2,803,417,000.00 | |
| -20.5363 | -205,363,200.00 | |
| -267.4788 | -2,674,788,000.00 | |
| 152.5469 | 1,525,469,000.00 | |
| -12.8209 | -128,209,200.00 | |
| -2.3312 | -23,311,760.00 | |
| 18.7561 | 187,561,400.00 |
Estimation Period:
Dec 7, 2007 to Feb 13, 2026
Dec 7, 2007 to Feb 13, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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