Serco Group PLC Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Tuesday, February 10th, 2026:18.59% (+0.58%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.2118 | 3.80 | |
| 0.1503 | 5.39 | |
| 0.6777 | 12.50 | |
| -0.0992 | -2.28 | |
| 0.1938 | 3.37 | |
| -0.2229 | -7.36 | |
| 0.1808 | 7.69 | |
| -0.0253 | -1.04 | |
| -0.0659 | -1.87 | |
| 0.0365 | 0.94 | |
| 0.0066 | 0.16 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 2, 1990 to Feb 6, 2026
Jan 2, 1990 to Feb 6, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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