Hermes International Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Monday, February 16th, 2026:25.33% (-0.38%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.8884 | 3.89 | |
| 0.0788 | 8.64 | |
| 0.8837 | 66.40 | |
| 0.0373 | 1.00 | |
| -0.1171 | -2.32 | |
| 0.1574 | 5.81 | |
| -0.1331 | -4.63 | |
| 0.0803 | 2.64 | |
| -0.0021 | -0.07 | |
| -0.0703 | -1.52 |
Estimation Period:
Jun 4, 1993 to Feb 13, 2026
Jun 4, 1993 to Feb 13, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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