Raya Contact Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Sunday, February 15th, 2026:42.98% (-1.20%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.8416 | 5.11 | |
| 0.1028 | 3.82 | |
| 0.6401 | 6.27 | |
| -0.2657 | -0.46 | |
| 0.8843 | 0.97 | |
| -1.1187 | -1.66 | |
| 0.6740 | 1.19 | |
| -0.3003 | -0.58 | |
| 0.4278 | 0.93 | |
| -1.1642 | -2.81 | |
| 2.3755 | 4.36 |
Estimation Period:
May 2, 2017 to Feb 12, 2026
May 2, 2017 to Feb 12, 2026
News Impact Curve
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