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	param	t-stat
$ω$	0.9398	6.78
$α$	0.1334	4.53
$β$	0.7170	11.92
$γ_{1}$	0.0384	1.02
$γ_{2}$	-0.1397	-1.86

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Quilter plc Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility Prediction for Friday, February 13th, 2026:34.24% (-4.80%)

Date Range:

Parameter Estimates

News Impact Curve

Volatility Forecasts

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