Paysera Bulgaria JSC Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Wednesday, February 4th, 2026:1,521.87% (+2.34%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 2.1533 | 2.75 | |
| 0.1315 | 1.81 | |
| 0.4475 | 1.28 | |
| -19.7156 | -0.23 | |
| 181.1480 | 1.16 | |
| -250.5426 | -1.99 | |
| 67.2672 | 0.77 | |
| 71.9794 | 0.99 | |
| -174.6976 | -2.38 | |
| 328.7127 | 5.65 | |
| -384.0850 | -3.95 | |
| 435.4115 | 3.30 |
Estimation Period:
Jul 16, 2024 to Jan 30, 2026
Jul 16, 2024 to Jan 30, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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