Zahrat Al Waha For Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Sunday, February 8th, 2026:35.94% (+5.06%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.8977 | 4.02 | |
| 0.0760 | 3.69 | |
| 0.7952 | 13.34 | |
| 1.4125 | 1.39 | |
| -2.2616 | -1.51 | |
| 2.1225 | 1.91 | |
| -3.5861 | -3.44 | |
| 5.0372 | 4.81 | |
| -5.1142 | -4.10 | |
| 3.9001 | 3.13 | |
| -2.1766 | -2.38 | |
| 0.9446 | 0.87 | |
| -0.1425 | -0.06 |
Estimation Period:
Sep 21, 2017 to Feb 5, 2026
Sep 21, 2017 to Feb 5, 2026
News Impact Curve
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