National Fittings Ltd Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Monday, February 9th, 2026:73.69% (-4.13%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.2150 | 8.83 | |
| 0.1340 | 5.86 | |
| 0.6805 | 11.08 | |
| 0.5302 | 3.24 | |
| -0.6263 | -2.41 | |
| -0.0855 | -0.33 | |
| 0.6628 | 2.34 | |
| -1.0987 | -4.54 | |
| 1.0838 | 4.49 | |
| -0.8481 | -3.13 | |
| 0.9354 | 2.78 |
Estimation Period:
Jun 15, 2012 to Feb 6, 2026
Jun 15, 2012 to Feb 6, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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