National Housing Finance Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Sunday, February 8th, 2026:28.01% (+0.59%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 2.8075 | 2.64 | |
| 0.1054 | 7.23 | |
| 0.8454 | 37.71 | |
| 0.8267 | 2.58 | |
| -1.2055 | -2.73 | |
| 0.5046 | 1.46 | |
| -0.1230 | -0.38 | |
| -0.0142 | -0.05 | |
| -0.0366 | -0.09 | |
| 0.3884 | 1.07 | |
| -1.1265 | -3.31 | |
| 1.8154 | 4.67 | |
| -2.0433 | -3.62 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 14, 2009 to Feb 5, 2026
Jan 14, 2009 to Feb 5, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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