Novagold Resources Inc Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Monday, February 9th, 2026:116.77% (+2.85%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.7038 | 6.18 | |
| 0.0784 | 7.43 | |
| 0.8731 | 54.66 | |
| -0.1030 | -2.34 | |
| 0.1818 | 2.71 | |
| -0.2495 | -5.16 | |
| 0.3417 | 5.70 | |
| -0.2465 | -2.87 | |
| 0.0919 | 1.08 | |
| -0.0328 | -0.57 | |
| 0.0484 | 1.11 | |
| 0.0027 | 0.04 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 1, 1990 to Feb 6, 2026
Jan 1, 1990 to Feb 6, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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