Nayifat Finance Company Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Tuesday, February 10th, 2026:12.62% (+1.44%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.4910 | 2.33 | |
| 0.0681 | 1.71 | |
| 0.6711 | 3.78 | |
| 9.4110 | 1.99 | |
| -15.6544 | -2.22 | |
| 8.9766 | 1.95 | |
| -1.5102 | -0.38 | |
| -3.6415 | -0.91 | |
| 6.0553 | 1.81 | |
| -7.3486 | -1.94 | |
| 5.2866 | 0.95 | |
| -6.2040 | -1.00 |
Estimation Period:
Nov 22, 2021 to Feb 5, 2026
Nov 22, 2021 to Feb 5, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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