Mandviwala Mauser Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Monday, February 9th, 2026:4,239,921,173,795,570,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000.00% (0.00%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.1891 | 11,890,660.00 | |
| 0.1147 | 1,147,450.00 | |
| 0.7869 | 7,868,940.00 | |
| -1.9600 | -19,599,540.00 | |
| -4.4503 | -44,502,700.00 | |
| 23.0165 | 230,165,100.00 | |
| -22.1699 | -221,698,900.00 | |
| -40.7739 | -407,738,500.00 | |
| 26.0618 | 260,618,000.00 | |
| 68.9160 | 689,159,800.00 | |
| 23.5795 | 235,794,800.00 | |
| -41.4473 | -414,473,300.00 | |
| -44.2805 | -442,805,100.00 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 8, 1996 to Feb 6, 2026
Jan 8, 1996 to Feb 6, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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