Montebalito SA Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Monday, February 9th, 2026:31.45% (-8.97%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 3.0883 | 3.53 | |
| 0.3021 | 3.71 | |
| 0.4877 | 4.47 | |
| 0.0867 | 0.59 | |
| 0.3037 | 1.59 | |
| -0.7121 | -6.27 | |
| 0.5615 | 4.46 | |
| -0.4587 | -2.72 | |
| 0.2875 | 1.52 | |
| -0.0478 | -0.29 | |
| -0.0854 | -0.66 | |
| 0.1261 | 1.09 | |
| -0.1278 | -0.82 |
Estimation Period:
Mar 28, 1991 to Feb 6, 2026
Mar 28, 1991 to Feb 6, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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