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	param	t-stat
$ω$	0.0130	4.11
$α$	0.0276	3.49
$β$	0.9724	174.89
$γ$	-1.0000	-2.45
$δ$	1.0549	8.04

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Direxion Daily MSFT Bear 1x Shares APARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility Prediction for Friday, February 13th, 2026:37.11% (-0.26%)

Date Range:

Parameter Estimates

News Impact Curve

Volatility Forecasts

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