Mersen Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Monday, February 9th, 2026:42.66% (-1.03%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.7868 | 7.35 | |
| 0.0843 | 8.39 | |
| 0.8597 | 50.19 | |
| -0.0162 | -0.54 | |
| 0.0443 | 0.98 | |
| -0.0918 | -3.21 | |
| 0.1299 | 5.30 | |
| -0.1097 | -4.64 | |
| 0.0719 | 2.98 | |
| -0.0547 | -1.93 | |
| 0.0850 | 1.73 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 1, 1990 to Feb 6, 2026
Jan 1, 1990 to Feb 6, 2026
News Impact Curve
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