Margo Finance Ltd Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Monday, February 9th, 2026:73.23% (+9.68%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.0560 | 3.32 | |
| 0.1825 | 11.53 | |
| 0.7738 | 36.68 | |
| -0.8293 | -1.20 | |
| 1.7103 | 1.36 | |
| -2.9082 | -3.14 | |
| 5.0468 | 11.88 | |
| -4.9086 | -6.22 | |
| 2.2252 | 2.07 | |
| 0.2119 | 0.21 | |
| -1.1094 | -1.59 | |
| 0.4008 | 0.84 | |
| 0.6876 | 0.92 |
Estimation Period:
Oct 19, 2009 to Feb 6, 2026
Oct 19, 2009 to Feb 6, 2026
News Impact Curve
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