Morguard Corp Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Monday, February 9th, 2026:14.42% (-0.89%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 2.0463 | 6.98 | |
| 0.1318 | 8.32 | |
| 0.7450 | 24.77 | |
| -0.0366 | -0.85 | |
| 0.1344 | 1.90 | |
| -0.2228 | -4.15 | |
| 0.2610 | 5.96 | |
| -0.2381 | -7.09 | |
| 0.1340 | 3.87 | |
| 0.0031 | 0.08 | |
| -0.0843 | -2.07 | |
| 0.0500 | 1.00 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 9, 1990 to Feb 6, 2026
Jan 9, 1990 to Feb 6, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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