Mol Hungarian Oil Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Monday, February 9th, 2026:32.40% (-2.47%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.4687 | 5.63 | |
| 0.1042 | 5.71 | |
| 0.8035 | 28.92 | |
| -0.0285 | -1.40 | |
| 0.0828 | 2.94 | |
| -0.1074 | -6.35 | |
| 0.0947 | 3.97 | |
| -0.0729 | -1.48 | |
| 0.0505 | 0.62 |
Estimation Period:
Feb 9, 1996 to Feb 6, 2026
Feb 9, 1996 to Feb 6, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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