Arnoldo Mondadori Editore S.p.A. Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Monday, February 9th, 2026:18.40% (-0.57%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 2.0958 | 2.55 | |
| 0.0835 | 6.72 | |
| 0.8797 | 46.28 | |
| 0.0938 | 2.39 | |
| -0.1641 | -3.07 | |
| 0.1406 | 5.83 | |
| -0.1081 | -6.34 | |
| 0.0421 | 2.38 | |
| -0.0336 | -1.22 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 4, 1990 to Feb 6, 2026
Jan 4, 1990 to Feb 6, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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