Microdata Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Monday, February 9th, 2026:38.69% (-1.04%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.2184 | 7.28 | |
| 0.1463 | 7.23 | |
| 0.6550 | 14.12 | |
| 0.1120 | 2.75 | |
| -0.1994 | -3.49 | |
| 0.1251 | 3.65 | |
| 0.0154 | 0.32 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 7, 2008 to Feb 6, 2026
Jan 7, 2008 to Feb 6, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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