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	param	t-stat
$ω$	1.1870	3.93
$α$	0.2164	4.87
$β$	0.6003	9.29
$γ_{1}$	0.2868	1.89
$γ_{2}$	-0.4919	-2.21
$γ_{3}$	0.2685	2.04
$γ_{4}$	-0.0864	-0.53

V-Lab

Mercia Asset Management PLC Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility Prediction for Monday, February 9th, 2026:19.36% (-1.43%)

Date Range:

Parameter Estimates

News Impact Curve

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