Mercury NZ Ltd Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Monday, February 9th, 2026:15.52% (-0.42%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.8971 | 4.80 | |
| 0.0518 | 4.24 | |
| 0.8757 | 27.17 | |
| 0.3157 | 1.18 | |
| -0.6932 | -1.84 | |
| 0.8159 | 3.87 | |
| -0.6559 | -3.30 | |
| 0.0913 | 0.49 | |
| 0.3961 | 2.24 | |
| -0.8642 | -3.48 |
Estimation Period:
May 10, 2013 to Feb 5, 2026
May 10, 2013 to Feb 5, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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