Macro Group Pharmaceuticals Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Sunday, February 15th, 2026:12.33% (-31.83%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.0000 | 0.00 | |
| 1.0000 | 10,000,000.00 | |
| 0.0000 | 0.00 | |
| 73.7790 | 737,789,700.00 | |
| -157.5851 | -1,575,851,000.00 | |
| 97.7495 | 977,495,200.00 | |
| -20.7690 | -207,689,800.00 | |
| 15.8548 | 158,547,900.00 | |
| -18.2743 | -182,742,800.00 | |
| 17.4087 | 174,086,500.00 | |
| -21.4728 | -214,727,600.00 | |
| 37.5315 | 375,314,600.00 | |
| -68.4919 | -684,918,500.00 |
Estimation Period:
Apr 6, 2021 to Feb 12, 2026
Apr 6, 2021 to Feb 12, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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