McPherson's Ltd Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Monday, February 9th, 2026:71.45% (+2.56%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.6838 | 6.08 | |
| 0.1486 | 6.69 | |
| 0.7286 | 20.44 | |
| -0.0911 | -3.13 | |
| 0.1001 | 2.20 | |
| -0.0513 | -1.29 | |
| 0.1421 | 3.36 | |
| -0.2007 | -3.70 | |
| 0.1837 | 2.78 | |
| -0.1345 | -2.16 | |
| 0.0745 | 1.24 | |
| -0.0008 | -0.01 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 1, 1990 to Feb 6, 2026
Jan 1, 1990 to Feb 6, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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