Moody's Corp Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Monday, February 9th, 2026:40.51% (-3.00%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.6214 | 3.24 | |
| 0.0943 | 7.07 | |
| 0.8177 | 34.63 | |
| 0.0210 | 0.36 | |
| -0.1272 | -1.61 | |
| 0.2581 | 5.34 | |
| -0.2787 | -6.24 | |
| 0.1404 | 2.74 | |
| 0.0305 | 0.66 | |
| -0.0559 | -1.57 | |
| 0.0079 | 0.31 |
Estimation Period:
Oct 31, 1994 to Feb 6, 2026
Oct 31, 1994 to Feb 6, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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