Manolete Partners PLC Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Monday, February 9th, 2026:57.55% (-20.13%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5943 | 4.87 | |
| 0.2829 | 4.25 | |
| 0.0076 | 0.16 | |
| -3.4548 | -2.25 | |
| 5.0384 | 1.89 | |
| -4.2429 | -1.72 | |
| 5.6457 | 2.58 | |
| -4.8112 | -2.54 | |
| 3.6566 | 2.18 | |
| -3.8025 | -2.59 | |
| 3.1108 | 2.01 | |
| -0.8187 | -0.40 |
Estimation Period:
Dec 14, 2018 to Feb 6, 2026
Dec 14, 2018 to Feb 6, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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