James Halstead plc Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Friday, February 13th, 2026:20.66% (+0.91%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.9193 | 3.76 | |
| 0.1744 | 6.17 | |
| 0.5129 | 7.41 | |
| -0.0049 | -0.07 | |
| 0.1927 | 1.81 | |
| -0.3839 | -5.50 | |
| 0.2817 | 4.77 | |
| -0.0689 | -1.51 | |
| -0.0395 | -1.10 | |
| -0.0137 | -0.45 | |
| 0.0791 | 2.91 | |
| -0.0563 | -1.94 | |
| -0.0339 | -0.71 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 1, 1990 to Feb 6, 2026
Jan 1, 1990 to Feb 6, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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