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	param	t-stat
$ω$	2.5171	4.39
$α$	0.0780	4.10
$β$	0.8037	14.23
$γ_{1}$	0.2070	3.58
$γ_{2}$	-0.1469	-1.71
$γ_{3}$	-0.2946	-3.31

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Jersey Electricity PLC Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility Prediction for Tuesday, February 17th, 2026:10.28% (-0.37%)

Date Range:

Parameter Estimates

News Impact Curve

Volatility Forecasts

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