S&P GSCI Industrial Metals Spot Index MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Volatility prediction for Monday, June 1st, 2026
1 Day
1.34%
decreased by 15.53%
1 Week
1.53%
decreased by 15.34%
1 Month
2.87%
decreased by 14.00%
Analysis last updated: Friday, May 29, 2026 at 11:13 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 46 | ||
| 1.0000 | 9,999,900.00 | |
| 0.0003 | 3,320.00 | |
| -0.0006 | -6,430.00 | |
| 1.0223 | 28.66 | |
| 0.0932 | 27.26 | |
| 0.0909 | 2.69 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 2, 1990 to May 29, 2026
Jan 2, 1990 to May 29, 2026
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