Banca IFIS SpA Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Thursday, February 12th, 2026:52.37% (+30.08%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.9863 | 4.93 | |
| 0.1769 | 8.79 | |
| 0.6889 | 19.83 | |
| 0.1302 | 1.87 | |
| -0.2331 | -2.40 | |
| 0.1288 | 1.96 | |
| 0.0311 | 0.51 | |
| -0.1086 | -1.88 | |
| 0.1384 | 2.49 | |
| -0.1448 | -2.67 | |
| 0.0505 | 0.89 | |
| -0.0258 | -0.45 | |
| 0.1124 | 1.30 |
Estimation Period:
Nov 18, 1991 to Feb 6, 2026
Nov 18, 1991 to Feb 6, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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