Hamak Strategy Ltd Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Monday, February 16th, 2026:143.32% (+19.62%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.6717 | 1.53 | |
| 0.0891 | 1.78 | |
| 0.0000 | 0.00 | |
| -25.2201 | -0.48 | |
| 95.5465 | 1.28 | |
| -197.2373 | -5.87 | |
| 269.6854 | 9.67 | |
| -228.3752 | -5.09 | |
| 138.0001 | 3.88 | |
| -80.9166 | -4.37 | |
| 18.5876 | 1.23 | |
| 29.1044 | 1.41 |
Estimation Period:
Mar 1, 2022 to Feb 13, 2026
Mar 1, 2022 to Feb 13, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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