HAL Trust Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Tuesday, February 10th, 2026:16.88% (+0.19%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.8235 | 4.41 | |
| 0.1390 | 4.29 | |
| 0.6791 | 8.72 | |
| -6.5105 | -4.09 | |
| 9.1927 | 3.86 | |
| -2.2151 | -1.43 | |
| -2.3556 | -1.72 | |
| 4.1711 | 2.42 | |
| -4.2706 | -1.79 | |
| 3.6330 | 1.48 | |
| -3.2172 | -0.98 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 14, 2020 to Feb 6, 2026
Jan 14, 2020 to Feb 6, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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