Formet Celik Kapi Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Monday, February 9th, 2026:49.58% (-15.06%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.4472 | 3.51 | |
| 0.3052 | 7.78 | |
| 0.2732 | 3.39 | |
| -6.0758 | -3.45 | |
| 8.1893 | 3.29 | |
| -2.6343 | -2.09 | |
| -0.0878 | -0.08 | |
| 1.0725 | 0.85 | |
| 0.5873 | 0.54 | |
| -2.6340 | -2.57 | |
| 2.9415 | 2.62 | |
| -2.5915 | -1.99 | |
| 1.8532 | 0.82 |
Estimation Period:
May 22, 2018 to Feb 6, 2026
May 22, 2018 to Feb 6, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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