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	param	t-stat
$ω$	1.0000	0.89
$α$	0.1572	6.50
$β$	0.7784	19.84
$γ$	-0.3795	-4.06
$δ$	1.1589	1.71

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Firefly Aerospace Inc APARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility Prediction for Monday, February 9th, 2026:128.30% (+6.01%)

Date Range:

Parameter Estimates

News Impact Curve

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