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	param	t-stat
$ω$	1.0000	0.93
$α$	0.2833	16.58
$β$	0.6408	23.72
$γ$	-0.0515	-1.60
$δ$	0.9848	2.08

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Firefly Aerospace Inc Asy. Power MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility Prediction for Wednesday, February 18th, 2026:203.87% (+34.95%)

Date Range:

Parameter Estimates

News Impact Curve

Volatility Forecasts

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