Fidelity Bank PLC Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Monday, February 9th, 2026:49.82% (-6.29%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.2533 | 1.07 | |
| 0.2002 | 7.29 | |
| 0.7385 | 26.47 | |
| -0.2881 | -1.01 | |
| 0.3066 | 0.82 | |
| 0.0288 | 0.22 | |
| -0.1365 | -1.94 | |
| 0.1686 | 2.28 | |
| -0.1563 | -1.21 |
Estimation Period:
Feb 9, 2007 to Feb 6, 2026
Feb 9, 2007 to Feb 6, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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