First Au Limited Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Monday, February 9th, 2026:171.97% (-17.04%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.1968 | 1.61 | |
| 0.1558 | 3.98 | |
| 0.1723 | 1.06 | |
| -8.7502 | -3.91 | |
| 12.2063 | 4.19 | |
| -5.2548 | -4.32 | |
| 2.4658 | 2.78 | |
| -0.1624 | -0.21 | |
| -0.5700 | -0.72 | |
| -0.0877 | -0.10 | |
| -0.2937 | -0.25 | |
| 0.3725 | 0.22 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 22, 1996 to Feb 6, 2026
Jan 22, 1996 to Feb 6, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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