Elspec Engineering Ltd Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Sunday, February 8th, 2026:53.54% (-1.77%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.1167 | 2.19 | |
| 0.0338 | 3.17 | |
| 0.8973 | 21.57 | |
| -0.1299 | -0.55 | |
| 0.1193 | 0.39 | |
| 0.0855 | 0.63 | |
| -0.1450 | -1.17 | |
| 0.1532 | 1.13 | |
| -0.0793 | -0.54 | |
| -0.1727 | -1.19 | |
| 0.3945 | 2.70 | |
| -0.3517 | -2.09 |
Estimation Period:
Mar 1, 2006 to Feb 6, 2026
Mar 1, 2006 to Feb 6, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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