El Forge Ltd Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Tuesday, February 10th, 2026:17.39% (+1.49%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 3.5638 | 35,637,530.00 | |
| 0.1498 | 1,498,050.00 | |
| 0.8425 | 8,424,920.00 | |
| 19.1172 | 191,172,200.00 | |
| -143.4621 | -1,434,621,000.00 | |
| 202.1359 | 2,021,359,000.00 | |
| 72.1673 | 721,673,100.00 | |
| -284.2845 | -2,842,845,000.00 | |
| 136.4180 | 1,364,180,000.00 |
Estimation Period:
Mar 15, 2012 to Feb 6, 2026
Mar 15, 2012 to Feb 6, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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